Company name Aeropostale, Inc.
Stock ticker ARO
Live stock price [stckqut]ARO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Fair
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Poor

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $6.79
Target stock price (averages with growth) $8.83
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $9.05
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $14.12

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aro

Aeropostale, Inc., (Aeropostale) is a mall-based, specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories, principally targeting 14 to 17 year-old young women and men through its Aeropostale stores and 4 to 12 year-old kids through its P.S. from Aeropostale stores. P.S. from Aeropostale products can be purchased in P.S. from Aeropostale stores, in certain Aeropostale stores, and online at www.ps4u.com. As of January 28, 2012, it operated 986 Aeropostale stores, consisting of 918 stores in 50 states and Puerto Rico, 68 stores in Canada, as well as 71 P.S. from Aeropostale stores in 20 states. In addition, pursuant to a licensing agreement, it operated 14 Aeropostale and P.S. from Aeropostale stores in Middle East and South East Asia. During March 2011, it announced that it had signed a second licensing agreement. The licensee to this agreement is focused to open approximately 30 stores in stores in Turkey over the next five years.

 

Confident Investor comments: Aeropostale has not been able to perform well compared to their previous years. I am removing this stock from my Watch List. At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock until the company can fix its performance.

 

Company name Aeropostale, Inc.
Stock ticker ARO
Live stock price [stckqut]ARO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $5.71
Target stock price (averages with growth) $10.46
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $13.43
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $12.42

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aro

Aeropostale, Inc. is a mall-based, specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories, principally targeting 14 to 17 year-old young women and men through its Aeropostale stores and 7 to 12 year-old kids through its P.S. from Aeropostale stores. The Company designs, sources, markets and sells all of its own merchandise. P.S. from Aeropostale products can be purchased in P.S. from Aeropostale stores, in certain Aeropostale stores, including its new Times Square store in New York City and online at www.ps4u.com. As of January 29, 2011, it operated 965 Aeropostale stores, consisting of 906 stores in 49 states and Puerto Rico, 59 stores in Canada, as well as 47 P.S. from Aeropostale stores in 13 states. In addition, pursuant to a Licensing Agreement, one of its international licensees operated 10 Aeropostale stores in the United Arab Emirates as of January 29, 2011. During March 2011, it announced that it had signed a second licensing agreement.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock. This stock is currently way undervalued, in my opinion. Even the price target that I have currently picked ($12.42) is probably too low. 6 months ago it was trading over $24 and 3 months ago it was over $17. I realize that there is some concern about the Christmas season and I tried to factor that into my price target but this is a much better company than its short-term stock price is showing.

Several times a year, a Confident Investor must reevaluate the companies in the portfolio. Keeping your money in a stock that no longer qualifies as a “Good” company can end up hurting your investment performance a great deal.  Also, there are a lot of Good Companies so losing the worst of the best is not going to impact the ability to have a balanced portfolio.  Over the coming days, this site will evaluate each stock on the Watch List.

Company name Aeropostale, Inc.
Stock ticker ARO
Live stock price [stckqut]ARO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $40.5
Target stock price (averages with growth) $53.12
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $41.35
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $35.03

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aro
Aeropostale, Inc. is a mall-based specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories. The Company designs, markets and sells its own brand of merchandise principally targeting 14 to 17 year-old young women and young men. The Company also sells Aropostale merchandise through its e-commerce Website, www.aeropostale.com. During the fiscal year ended January 30, 2010 (fiscal 2009), the Company launched P.S. from Aeropostale, which offers casual clothing and accessories focused on elementary school children between the ages of 7 and 12. During fiscal 2009, the Company completed the closure of its 14 store Jimmy?Z concept. Jimmy?Z Surf Co., Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Aeropostale, Inc., was a contemporary lifestyle brand targeting young women and men aged 18 to 25.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.

Company name Aeropostale, Inc.
Stock ticker ARO
Live stock price [stckqut]ARO[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good
ANALYSIS
Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $38.85
Target stock price (averages with growth) $51.32
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $40.46
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $29.17

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=aro
Aeropostale, Inc. is a mall-based specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories. The Company designs, markets and sells its own brand of merchandise principally targeting 14 to 17 year-old young women and young men. The Company also sells Aropostale merchandise through its e-commerce Website, www.aeropostale.com. During the fiscal year ended January 30, 2010 (fiscal 2009), the Company launched P.S. from Aeropostale, which offers casual clothing and accessories focused on elementary school children between the ages of 7 and 12. During fiscal 2009, the Company completed the closure of its 14 store Jimmy?Z concept. Jimmy?Z Surf Co., Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Aeropostale, Inc., was a contemporary lifestyle brand targeting young women and men aged 18 to 25.

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in this stock.