Tractor Supply Company ($TSCO) Cautious Buy or Hold to $79 Confident Investor Rating: Fair
| Company name | Tractor Supply Company |
| Stock ticker | TSCO |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]TSCO[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Fair |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Poor |
| Sales growth | Fair |
| EPS growth | Good |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Good |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Fair |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $86.37 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $86.34 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $46.59 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $92.35 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=tsco
Tractor Supply Company is an operator of rural lifestyle retail stores in the United States. The Company focuses on supplying the lifestyle needs of recreational farmers and ranchers, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. As of December 27, 2014, it operated 1,382 retail stores in 49 states under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del’s Feed & Farm Supply and HomeTown Pet. It also operates a Website under the name TractorSupply.com. It offers a portfolio of products, which include equine, livestock, pet and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing and tool products; seasonal products, including lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear, and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. Its products are offered under various brands, which include 4health, Blue Mountain, Countyline, Equistages, Groundwork, Huskee, JobSmart, Dumor, C.E. Schmidt, Paws & Claws, Producer’s Pride and Redstone, among others.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Tractor Supply Company as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. Since the company is scoring at the low end of what I consider to be a Fair Company, I am taking them off of my Watch List for now.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Tractor Supply Company calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $83.2
- Growth: 0.12
- Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
- P/E: 29
- Future EPS Calc: $5.12
- Future Stock Price Calc: $148.72
- Target stock price: $92.34
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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.
