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Company name Buffalo Wild Wings
Stock ticker BWLD
Live stock price [stckqut]BWLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Fair
EPS growth Poor
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Fair

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $49.2
Target stock price (averages with growth) $52.69
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $39.28
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $226.2

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=bwld

Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc. is the owner, operator and franchisor of restaurants. As of December 25, 2016, the Company’s made-to-order menu items included 16 sauces and five seasonings, ranging from Sweet BBQ to Blazin. The Company’s restaurants offer 20 to 40 domestic and imported beers on tap, including craft brews, and a selection of bottled beers, wines and liquor. As of December 25, 2016, the Company had company-owned or franchised restaurants in all 50 states and two Canadian provinces. Its franchised restaurants also operate in Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Philippines, Panama and the United Arab Emirates. The Company operates Buffalo Wild Wings, R Taco and PizzaRev restaurants, as well as sells Buffalo Wild Wings and R Taco restaurant franchises. In addition to traditional and boneless chicken wings, the Company’s menu features a range of food items, including sharables, hamburgers, sandwiches, wraps, Buffalito soft tacos, and salads.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Buffalo Wild Wings as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Buffalo Wild Wings calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $105.7
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $3.9
  • P/E: 58
  • Future EPS Calc: $6.28
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $364.29
  • Target stock price: $226.2

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Stock ticker Stock name Last Close Recommendation
AAPL Apple Inc. $154.1200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ABMD ABIOMED, Inc. $168.6000 Strong Buy or Hold
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $186.2700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
ALXN Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $140.2900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. $52.0900 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
AMZN $961.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. $171.2800 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd $172.7100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings $105.7000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
CBPO China Biologic Products Inc $92.2700 Some Concerns, may need to wait
COF Capital One Financial Corp. $84.6600 Strong Buy or Hold
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $53.3200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. $147.5500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
DPZ Domino’s Pizza, Inc. $198.5500 Strong Buy or Hold
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp $109.3100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
EXR Extra Space Storage, Inc. $79.9200 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
FB Facebook Inc $170.8100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
GOOGL Alphabet Inc $973.7200 Strong Buy or Hold
GTN Gray Television, Inc. $15.7000 Strong Buy or Hold
GWR Genesee & Wyoming Inc $74.0100 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
HDSN Hudson Technologies, Inc. $7.8100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc $48.2100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HSKA Heska Corp $88.0900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
HZO MarineMax Inc $16.5500 Strong Buy or Hold
IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. $155.4900 Very Concerned, may need to wait
LNCE Snyder’s-Lance Inc $38.1400 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. $62.2500 Strong Buy or Hold
MCK McKesson Corporation $153.6100 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
MEI Methode Electronics Inc. $42.3500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
MET Metlife Inc $51.9500 Strong Buy or Hold
MIDD Middleby Corp $128.1700 Strong Buy or Hold
MNST Monster Beverage Corporation $55.2500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $64.0300 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NFLX Netflix, Inc. $181.3500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation $178.7700 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
PCLN Priceline Group Inc $1830.8200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc $447.1200 Some Concerns, may need to wait
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc $156.2000 Concerned, but watch close as good things may happen soon
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $53.7100 Very Concerned, may need to wait
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. $199.4500 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SUI Sun Communities Inc $85.6800 Very Concerned, may need to wait
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc $101.9000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
THRM Gentherm Inc $37.1500 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. $189.2000 Very Concerned, may need to wait
TRN Trinity Industries Inc $31.9000 Strong Buy or Hold, but there are some concerns
UA Under Armour Inc $15.0200 Very Concerned, may need to wait
ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc $226.0600 Possible Buy or Hold, but some concerns

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Company name Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Stock ticker BABA
Live stock price [stckqut]BABA[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Good
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Good
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Good
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $266.86
Target stock price (averages with growth) $295.14
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $134.25
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $265.25

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=baba

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company is engaged in online and mobile commerce through offering of products, services and technology that enable merchants, brands and other businesses to transform the way they market, sell and operate in the People’s Republic of China (China) and internationally. Its businesses consist of core commerce, cloud computing, mobile media and entertainment, and other innovation initiatives. Through investee affiliates, it also participates in the logistics and local services sectors. Retail commerce in China operated by the Company includes the China online commerce destination (Taobao Marketplace); the China third-party platform for brands and retailers (Tmall), and the sales and marketing platform for flash sales (Juhuasuan). Wholesale commerce in China operated by the Company includes the China domestic wholesale marketplace (1688.com) and the wholesale marketplace for global trade (Alibaba.com).

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $172.71
  • Growth: 0.2
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.96
  • P/E: 58
  • Future EPS Calc: $7.36
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $427.19
  • Target stock price: $265.25

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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Company name Aspen Technology, Inc.
Stock ticker AZPN
Live stock price [stckqut]AZPN[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Fair

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Poor
EPS growth Good
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Poor
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $97.28
Target stock price (averages with growth) $92.65
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $41.96
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $57.24

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=azpn

Aspen Technology, Inc. is a global provider of process optimization software solutions designed to manage and optimize plant and process design, operational performance, and supply chain planning. The Company’s aspenONE software and related services have been developed specifically for companies in the process industries, including the energy, chemicals, and engineering and construction industries. It operates through two segments, including subscription and software, which provides licensing of process optimization software solutions and associated support services, and services, which includes professional services and training. It has developed applications to design and optimize processes across the business areas, including engineering, manufacturing and supply chain. Its products include Aspen HYSYS, Aspen Economic Evaluation, Aspen Info Plus.21, Aspen PIMS Advanced Optimization, Aspen Collaborative Demand Manager and Aspen Supply Planner.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this price and at this time, I do not think that a Confident Investor can confidently invest in Aspen Technology, Inc. I am removing the company from my Watch List.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Aspen Technology, Inc. calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $62.81
  • Growth: 0.1
  • Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
  • P/E: 27
  • Future EPS Calc: $3.41
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $92.18
  • Target stock price: $57.24

[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.