Buffalo Wild Wings ($BWLD) Cautious Buy or Hold to $155 Confident Investor Rating: Fair

Company name Buffalo Wild Wings
Stock ticker BWLD
Live stock price [stckqut]BWLD[/stckqut]
P/E compared to competitors Good

MANAGEMENT EXECUTION

Employee productivity Poor
Sales growth Good
EPS growth Fair
P/E growth Poor
EBIT growth Good

ANALYSIS

Confident Investor Rating Fair
Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) $134.22
Target stock price (averages with growth) $163.49
Target stock price (averages with no growth) $92.05
Target stock price (manual assumptions) $146.33

The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=bwld

Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc. (Buffalo Wild Wings) is an owner, operator and franchisor of restaurants featuring various menu items. The Company’s restaurants feature a bar, which offers a selection of 20 to 30 domestic, imported and craft beers on tap, as well as bottled beers, wine and liquor. The Buffalo Wild Wings restaurants feature various menu items, including its Buffalo, New York-style chicken wings spun in one of its signature sauces from sweet to screamin’ hot, which includes Sweet barbeque (BBQ), Teriyaki, Bourbon Honey Mustard, Mild, Parmesan Garlic, Medium, Honey BBQ, Spicy Garlic, Asian Zing, Caribbean Jerk, Thai Curry, Hot BBQ, Hot, Mango Habanero, Wild and Blazin’, or signature seasonings, Buffalo, Desert Heat, Chipotle BBQ, Lemon Pepper, and Salt & Vinegar. Its restaurants include a multi-media system, a bar and an open layout. It operates Buffalo Wild Wings, R Taco and PizzaRev restaurants, as well as sells Buffalo Wild Wings and R Taco restaurant franchises.

 

Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Buffalo Wild Wings as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns. I will be keeping Buffalo Wild Wings on my Watch List but I am a bit concerned that the company isn’t achieving my goals.

If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.

How was this analysis of Buffalo Wild Wings calculated?

For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
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In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:

  • Stock price at the time of the calculation: $143.04
  • Growth: 0.11
  • Current EPS (TTM): $5.18
  • P/E: 27
  • Future EPS Calc: $8.72
  • Future Stock Price Calc: $235.67
  • Target stock price: $146.33

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I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.

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