| Company name | Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. |
| Stock ticker | ULTA |
| Live stock price | [stckqut]ULTA[/stckqut] |
| P/E compared to competitors | Fair |
MANAGEMENT EXECUTION
| Employee productivity | Poor |
| Sales growth | Good |
| EPS growth | Good |
| P/E growth | Poor |
| EBIT growth | Good |
ANALYSIS
| Confident Investor Rating | Fair |
| Target stock price (TWCA growth scenario) | $231.47 |
| Target stock price (averages with growth) | $252.72 |
| Target stock price (averages with no growth) | $117.06 |
| Target stock price (manual assumptions) | $221.25 |
The following company description is from Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=ulta
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (Ulta) is a beauty retailer. The Company provides salon products and salon services in the United States. It offers a combination of more than 20,000 prestige and mass beauty products. As of January 31, 2015, it operated 774 stores in 47 states. The Company offers products in the categories, including cosmetics, which includes products for the face, eyes, cheeks, lips and nails; haircare, which includes shampoos, conditioners, styling products and hair accessories; salon styling tools, which includes hair dryers, curling irons and flat irons; skincare and bath and body, which includes products for the face, hands and body; fragrance; nail polish and nail care products; men’s skincare, haircare and fragrance products; private label, consisting of Ulta branded cosmetics, skincare, bath and body products and haircare, and other health and beauty products.
Confident Investor comments: At this time, I think that a Confident Investor can cautiously invest in Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. as long as the price is correct. Most of the fundamentals of this company are good but there are some concerns.
If you would like to understand how to evaluate companies like I do on this site, please read my book, The Confident Investor. You can review the best companies that I have found (and I probably invest my own money in most of these companies) in my Watch List.
How was this analysis of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. calculated?
For owners of my book, “The Confident Investor” I offer the following analysis (you must be logged in to this site as a book owner in order to see the following analysis). If you have registered and cannot see the balance of this article, make sure you are logged in and refresh your browser.
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]
In order to assist you in using the techniques of this book, the values that I used when calculating the Manual pricing above were:
- Stock price at the time of the calculation: $157.7
- Growth: 0.18
- Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
- P/E: 35
- Future EPS Calc: $10.18
- Future Stock Price Calc: $356.31
- Target stock price: $221.24
[/s2If]
I hope that this makes you a Confident Investor.